Climate Change and Conflict in Africa and Latin America: Findings and Preliminary Lessons from Uganda, Ethiopia, and Peru; African and Latin American Resilience to Climate Change (ARCC)
In 2007, the Fourth Annual Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) predicted that rising global temperatures would contribute to a steady upsurge in severe storms, floods, droughts, glacier melt, and sea level rise. Since then, extreme and erratic weather in much of the developing world has provided further support for such projections. Increasingly, recurrent droughts in the Horn of Africa have posed severe threats to food security for millions of people. In Asia, frequent tropical cyclones and heat waves such as the one experienced in New Delhi in the summer of 2012 have strained the response capacities of local and national governments. In Latin America, melting glaciers and changes in seasonal rainfall patterns have altered landscapes and increased competition for scarce water throughout the Andes. Such climate-related trends and events clearly have the potential to impede or reverse economic development and generate humanitarian crises, but will they contribute to conflict?.